Evolution of demand for leisure air transport in 2025, Synthesis Report

Isabelle Laplace (1) , Nathalie Lenoir (2) , Christine Cassan (3)

1 M3 Systems
2 LEEA - ENAC - Laboratoire d'Economie et d'Econométrie de l'Aérien
3 Elysées Consulting

The purpose of the DEMAND 2025 study is to explore what can be assumed today about the main features of the demand for leisure air transport in 2025 ? leisure meaning all travel purposes except business, i.e. when the expense is a discretionary choice. An original methodology has been devoted to the study, and applied to the case of the French population, one of the top 5 European populations for leisure air traffic in EU15 in 2003.Determining how leisure air travel demand will evolve in the future requires an understanding of how passengers make their decisions to travel and how their behaviour and needs will evolve. That is why two complementary approaches have been used in this study: an economic approach and a sociological approach, using the EUROCONTROL STATFOR scenarios for the description of the general context in 2025.This innovative methodology has provided answers to two categories of questions:

Mots clés: air travel; leisure; demand features; scenarios

Domaines: Economies et finances

Isabelle Laplace, Nathalie Lenoir, Christine Cassan. Evolution of demand for leisure air transport in 2025, Synthesis Report. 2007. ⟨hal-01021533⟩