Fuzzy Risk Assessment for Airport Strategic Planning

Elena Mihaela Capitanul 1 Hamdan Alfazari 2 Carlos Alberto Nunes-Cosenza 3 Walid El-Moudani 4 Felix Antonio Claudio Mora-Camino 5
1 MAIAA - ENAC - Laboratoire de Mathématiques Appliquées, Informatique et Automatique pour l'Aérien
2 Sohar university
3 COPPE/UFRJ - COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro
4 Lebanese International University
5 ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile
Abstract : Airports are asset-intensive businesses that require a large amount of time to recover the significant financial investments in specific infrastructure such as runways and terminals. Airports investors must perform strategic moves based on calculated risks before taking investment decisions. This communication puts forward a new approach for airport investment risk assessment. The approach takes explicitly into account the degree of uncertainty in activity levels prediction and proposes milestones for the different stages of the project for minimizing risk. Uncertainty is represented through fuzzy dual theory and risk management is performed using dynamic programming
Keywords : airports financial risk assessment uncertainty fuzzy dual dynamic programming
Type de document :
Communication dans un congrès
18th International Conference on Aerospace Engineering and Management, Feb 2016, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
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https://hal-enac.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01424284
Contributeur : Laurence Porte <>
Soumis le : lundi 2 janvier 2017 - 11:13:39
Dernière modification le : vendredi 6 janvier 2017 - 01:18:09
Document(s) archivé(s) le : mardi 4 avril 2017 - 00:25:12

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  • HAL Id : hal-01424284, version 1

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Elena Mihaela Capitanul, Hamdan Alfazari, Carlos Alberto Nunes-Cosenza, Walid El-Moudani, Felix Antonio Claudio Mora-Camino. Fuzzy Risk Assessment for Airport Strategic Planning. 18th International Conference on Aerospace Engineering and Management, Feb 2016, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. 〈hal-01424284〉

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