Distinctive patterns of water level change in Swedish lakes driven by climate and human regulation

S. Aminjafari (1) , I A Brown (1) , Frédéric Frappart (2) , F. Papa (3, 4) , Fabien Blarel (3) , F V Mayamey (1) , F. Jaramillo (1)

1 Stockholm University
2 UMR ISPA - Interactions Sol Plante Atmosphère
3 LEGOS - Laboratoire d'études en Géophysique et océanographie spatiales
4 UnB - University of Brasilia [Brazil]

Despite having approximately 100,000 lakes, Sweden has limited continuous gauged lake water level data. Although satellite radar altimetry (RA) has emerged as a popular alternative to measure water levels in inland water bodies, it has not yet been used to understand the large-scale changes in Swedish lakes. Here, we quantify the changes in water levels in 144 lakes using RA data and in situ gauged measurements to examine the effects of flow regulation and hydroclimatic variability. We use data from several RA missions, including ERS-2, ENVISAT, JASON-1,2,3, SARAL, and Sentinel-3A/B. We found that during 1995-2022, around 52% of the lakes exhibited an increasing trend and 43% a decreasing trend. Most lakes exhibiting an increasing trend were in the north of Sweden, while most lakes showing a decreasing trend were in the south. Regarding the potential effects of regulation, we found that unregulated lakes had smaller trends in water level and dynamic storage than regulated ones. While the seasonal patterns of water levels in the lakes in the north are similar in regulated and unregulated lakes, in the south, they differ substantially. This study highlights the need to continuously monitor lake water levels for adaptation strategies in the face of climate change and understand the downstream effects of water regulatory schemes. Energy production and water consumption have led to the regulation of many lakes in Sweden. To understand the consequences of human activities, we studied water level changes in 144 regulated and non-regulated lakes, utilizing satellite data. We found that regulated lakes show larger water level changes and variability compared to non-regulated ones. These findings underscore the need for effective adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of water regulatory schemes. Increasing lake water level trends in 52% of all lakes and decreasing in 43% of them Increasing water level trends in northern Sweden and decreasing in the south Different Water level seasonal patterns in regulated and non-regulated lakes in the South.

Mots clés: altimetry; lake water level; climate change; human regulation

Domaines: Sciences de l'environnement

S. Aminjafari, I A Brown, Frédéric Frappart, F. Papa, Fabien Blarel, et al.. Distinctive patterns of water level change in Swedish lakes driven by climate and human regulation. Water Resources Research, 2024, 60 (3), ⟨10.1029/2023wr036160⟩. ⟨hal-04511008⟩